Obbligazioni societarie Monitor bond Utilities Europa II (agosto - dicembre 2009) (1 Viewer)

Imark

Forumer storico
Enel ed Endesa sono confermate nel rating da Fitch dopo l'aumento di capitale varato da Enel. L'esercizio anticipato dell'opzione di vendita del 25% di Endesa concordato da Acciona ed Enel ha aiutato enel sia ad evitare un sovrapporsi di scadenze debitorie nel 2010, con una più efficace modulazione nel tempo delle stesse.

La vendita di asset a Terna ed il dividendo straordinario pagatole dalla stessa Endesa sono poi stati adoperati a riduzione dei loans bancari contratti in occasione della prima entrata di Enel in Endesa.

Considerate le misure adottate, il leverage è in decisa riduzione nel 2008 rispetto al 2007 e nel 2009, giacché Enel è in trattative per cedere ulteriori asset, Fitch si attende una ulteriore contrazione.

Endesa è messa decisamente meglio di Enel (anche in termini di leverage) ma il suo rating è "capped" in considerazione della posizione di controllo di Enel nel capitale sociale.

Fitch Affirms Enel and Endesa IDRs at 'A-', off RWN; Outlook Stable

30 Jul 2009 4:00 AM (EDT)

Fitch Ratings-Milan/Barcelona/London-30 July 2009: Fitch Ratings has affirmed Enel SpA's (Enel) and Endesa SA's (Endesa) Long-term Issuer Default ratings (IDR) at 'A-' and senior unsecured ratings at 'A'. The ratings have been removed from Rating Watch Negative (RWN). A Stable Outlook has been assigned to the Long-term IDRs.

At the same time, Fitch has affirmed the companies' Short-term IDRs at 'F2'. The EUR1.5bn perpetual preferred capital securities issued by Endesa Capital Finance, LLC and guaranteed by Endesa are also affirmed at 'A-'. The equity credit assigned to the securities has been reduced to 0% from 25%, given the time to the call option date is now less than five years and Fitch anticipates that management will repay the securities at this point. The instrument ratings have also been removed from RWN.

The affirmation reflects Enel's improved liquidity position following the completion of a EUR7.9bn capital increase, the successful disposal of a substantial portion of its assets and the payment of EUR4.1bn extraordinary dividend by Endesa to Enel related to the sale of assets to E.ON AG ('A'/Stable) in 2008
. These developments have helped assuage Fitch's liquidity concerns related to 2010 debt maturities and an increase in debt following the acquisition by Enel of an additional 25% stake in Endesa from Acciona for EUR11.1bn.

"The decision to increase capital following the acquisition of the residual stake in Endesa underlined Enel's commitment to protect and strengthen its financial profile in view of the difficult sector outlook," says Francesca Fraulo, Director in Fitch's Energy, Utility and Regulations team based in Milan.

"Scarce bank borrowing and a decline in commodity prices have seriously challenged the company's asset disposal strategy as asset trade sales are taking longer to complete due to lengthy due diligence processes that have, in some cases, led to an erosion of asset values."

The buyout of Acciona's equity stake has allowed Enel not only to gain full management control of Endesa but also pre-empted the put option exercise from Acciona that otherwise would have coincided with the outstanding debt maturities in 2010.

At the same time, Enel has lengthened the maturity of its debt profile as the additional debt facilities used for the Endesa acquisition mature in 2014 and 2016 respectively.

Liquidity pressure on 2010 maturities related to the original Endesa acquisition syndicated loan has been further reduced by early repayments using cash proceeds realised in the disposal of a high voltage grid network and the extraordinary payout of funds trapped in Endesa since the disposal of assets to E.ON AG was completed in June 2008.

Leverage (expressed as Fitch total adjusted debt net of cash/ EBITDA) decreased to 3.8x at FYE08 from 5.9x at FYE07, which is consistent with the current ratings. Leverage is expected to further improve by FYE09, pending further asset disposals.

Despite a stronger credit profile (annualised net leverage at H109 below 2x, in line with FYE08 level), Endesa's ratings remain capped by Enel's for now.

Operational performance in H109 demonstrated a resilient and defensive business profile. Its financial profile is expected to benefit from the pending monetisation of EUR5.4bn of regulatory receivables. Fitch will carefully analyse Endesa's next business plan, which should give it more insight into the nature of the parent subsidiary linkage between Enel and Endesa, including the extent of Endesa's financial independence from Enel. Fitch will continue to evaluate the linkage between the two ratings based on its Parent Subsidiary Rating linkage published in June 2007.

The near-term outlook for electricity generation is challenging given the recession in Spain and Italy. At this stage, however, this tough climate does not translate into negative rating pressure as this is mitigated by the companies' integrated business profiles and respective incumbent positions in two of the largest European economies.
 

Imark

Forumer storico
Enagas è la Snam rete gas spagnola, seguita in passato nell'azionario europa del FOL.

Qui efficacemente descritta in una recente rating action di Fitch... società molto solida, business molto conservativo.

Fitch Affirms Enagas' at 'A+'; Outlook Stable

30 Jul 2009 7:29 AM (EDT)

Fitch Ratings-Milan/Barcelona-30 July 2009: Fitch Ratings has today affirmed Enagas S.A.'s (Enagas) Long-term Issuer Default Rating (IDR) at 'A+', and affirmed its Short-term IDR at 'F1'. The Outlook on the Long-term IDR is Stable.

The rating affirmation reflects Enagas' dominant position in Spanish gas transmission. The company owns around 90% of the transport network, three out of six regasification facilities and one storage facility of the two located in Spain.

Enagas generates the bulk of its earnings from regulated activities (around 95% of 2008 EBIT) and has little exposure to volume and commodity risk, which supports earnings visibility. In May 2009, Enagas was appointed the Transmission System Operator (TSO) for the Spanish gas system (as per Royal Decree 6/2009), bringing the Spanish gas sector closer in line with European unbundling legislation.

Enagas benefits from a relatively benign regulatory framework, albeit with some scope for improvement. Remuneration is asset based, with incentives for out-performance in useful life, opex and capex. The framework is designed to allow for recovery of all operating costs and investments through a standard capital and operating expenditure and depreciation schedule, and to secure a return on investments. Transportation assets in operation before 2008 are remunerated based on a revenue growth model with annual adjustments for inflation and an efficiency factor.

Remuneration for storage and regasification assets changed from 2007 to one based on net regulated assets (RAB), facilitating international peer comparisons. A weakness of the latter framework is the absence of annual inflation adjustments. A similar framework was introduced for transportation assets coming on line from 2008, although these assets will benefit from inflation adjustments.

Management has reiterated its commitment to the strategic plan for 2007-2012, which targets investments of EUR5bn and a compound annual growth rate of 12% for net income in the period.

In 2008, Enagas achieved record investments of EUR777m (EUR598m in H109) and a total of EUR591m worth of assets were put into operation. Remuneration for new assets should limit a weakening of the financial profile as the company rolls out its capital expenditure programme until 2012.

In order for Enagas' ratings to remain unchanged, Fitch would expect sustainable leverage, or net debt/EBITDA, to be around 4x or below, and to not exceed a peak of around 4.3x in 2010-2012. Net debt/EBITDA was 3.7x at YE08. Enagas' rating does not incorporate headroom for acquisitions, unless related amounts are matched with a near-term capex reduction.

Enagas' net reported debt was EUR2.4bn at YE08 (EUR2.5bn at end-H109), up from EUR1.9bn at YE07. In H109, the cost of debt decreased to 2.96%, from an average of 4.7% in 2008. The EUR1bn syndicated loan, maturing in January 2010, was refinanced with the proceeds from two EUR500m bonds, maturing in 2012 and 2015, issued in July 2009.

The refinancing has further supported the group's liquidity position. The company arranged a 20-year EUR1bn loan from the European Investment Bank (EIB) and a EUR500m 15-year facility with Instituto de Credito Oficial (ICO) in 2008
 

Imark

Forumer storico
grazie, mi dici anche un sito dove vedere le quotazioni perchè su onvista e yahoo non ci sono

Purtroppo, essendo state emesse di recente, sui mercati retail ancora nessuna quotazione. Sull'ICMA la 2012 sta attorno a 101,70 in ask, la 2015 attorno a 103,80 in ask...
 

Imark

Forumer storico
Monitor bond Utilities (gruppo di lavoro: Alobar, I98mark).

AVVERTENZE

Nulla di nuovo sulla liquidità: male i mercati retail tedeschi, bene quelli professionali, come da svariate settimane a questa parte. E il problema sembra essere proprio di questo comparto (i telecom vanno molto meglio).

Rinnovati i ringraziamenti a Massimo S. che rende disponibili, per i bond illiquidi, i prezzi realizzati sui mercati professionali, passiamo ad esporli: fra i prezzi in tabella, sono di fonte ICMA quelli dei seguenti titoli (i prezzi sono quelli di venerdì scorso).

EDF 10/2010 e 2020; Vattenfall tutti tranne il 2024; EWE 2014; National Grid tutti; Veolia 2012, 2016, 2018, 2022; Gruppo Suez Tutti tranne 2018 ed il 2023; International Endesa 2013; Iberdrola tutti tranne il 2015 ed il 2018; Nederlandese Gasunie 2016; Hera 2016; Dong perpetual; Fortum tutti;

Per i bond Vattenfall 2024; Veolia 2033; Gruppo Suez 2023; Iberdola 2015 e 2018; Nederlandese Gasunie 2021 si è reso necessario riprendere il prezzo Bloomberg (BBML) (i prezzi sono sempre quelli della chiusura di venerdì).

------------------------------

Il periodo monitorato

Un comparto "fuori dalla mischia" quello degli utility bond, che restano tendenzialmente fermi sulle scadenze corte e medie, dove semmai si assiste a qualche presa di beneficio (guardate sempre ai prezzi in ask piuttosto che al last) e a qualche residuo rialzo sui prezzi dei titoli a rating più basso (ma neanche univoco: si va spigolando sul rendimento dei singoli titoli di uno stesso emittente, per cui qualcosa sale e qualcosa scende).

L'impeto è riservato ai titoli lunghi, con scadenza dal 2018-2020 in su, che sulla lunghezza delle due settimane segnano un recupero piuttosto marcato, e anche qui buono per i titoli più solidi, eccellente per quelli a rating più basso. E' il medesimo fenomeno che avevamo osservato la scorsa settimana per il comparto telecom, e per ora continua a notarsi sulla lunghezza bisettimanale per le utilities, sebbene i dati USA degli ultimi giorni della scorsa settimana abbiano segnato alcune prese di beneficio rispetto a qualche picco di prezzo fatto nel mentre.

Con il clima che si respira sui mercati corporate, segnalo anche come l'andamento piuttosto negativo dei prezzi energetici sui mercati europei (se raffrontato con quelli dello scorso anno) non pare aver scalfito la percepita natura difensiva del settore. Elementi di questo tipo per ora non sembrano avere alcun impatto sui prezzi.

Tovate il file allegato qui oltre che, come sempre, sul sito ventimaggio gestito da Maino ... (Maino peraltro mi informa che fra vacanze ed impegni di lavoro inframezzati c'è piuttosto poco, e tornerà ad essere maggiormente presente verso fine agosto...)

http://digilander.libero.it/ventimaggio/Finanza/Pagina dei files.html

La tabella dei prezzi, divisa in tre parti. Parte prima:
 

Allegati

  • Utilitibond1.GIF
    Utilitibond1.GIF
    30,2 KB · Visite: 267

Users who are viewing this thread

Alto