Obbligazioni societarie Monitor bond case automobilistiche e accessorio auto (1 Viewer)

lorenzo63

Age quod Agis
WSJ:Mercedes Delivers Bullish Forecast as China, Weaker Euro Help Sales

Euro debole aiuta...;) se nn ci sono ulteriori crolli economia etc...


Daimler AG, buoyed by rising sales in China and a weakening euro, said 2010 operating earnings at its Mercedes luxury-car division would reach the high end of its full-year outlook and announced that the unit expected to achieve a 10% profit margin by the second half of 2012.

The German auto maker added that Mercedes's second-quarter earnings before interest and taxes should exceed the €806 million ($996 million) it posted in the first quarter, in large part because of higher sales and prices, as well as cost cutting that it initiated last year.

Its loftier goal, though, came in its pledge for its Mercedes-Benz Cars division to reach the 10% return-on-sales target by 2012, something it never achieved in better days before the financial crisis. Daimler Chief Executive Dieter Zetsche had announced the goal for Mercedes-Benz Cars five years ago, before the financial crisis hit, but shied away from providing a detailed timeline as the economic turmoil progressed.
The recovery in the luxury car segment, however, has gained traction in recent months. In April, the Mercedes-Benz Cars unit, which comprises the Mercedes-Benz, Smart and Maybach nameplates, posted a 12% year-on-year salse increase and said all signs pointed to "further substantial growth" for May and June.

"From today's perspective, assuming there is no further downturn of the world economy, we expect Mercedes-Benz Cars to achieve its targeted return on sales of 10% in the second half of 2012 and to maintain it as of full-year 2013," Mr. Zetsche said Friday in a statement timed with the company's first investor and analyst conference in Beijing.

"China," he added, "is increasingly becoming the center of gravity of the automotive industry" and is now Mercedes's third-largest sales market. He said Mercedes sales there are expected to exceed 100,000 cars this year, compared with 67,000 last year.

Mr. Zetsche noted, however, that Mercedes's half-year earnings growth wouldn't necessarily be sustained over the full year because the company plans to boost research and development in more fuel-efficient technology and will have higher capital expenditures for new vehicle models.

"Nonetheless, I can say that Mercedes-Benz Cars' EBIT for the year 2010 will be at the upper end of our forecast of [between] €2.5 billion [and] €3 billion," Mr. Zetsche said.

Sanford Bernstein analyst Max Warburton said the Mercedes unit is likely to beat this target. In a research note, he added that a year ago, Mercedes's 10% profit-margin target would have seemed "wildly ambitious," particularly because of the global industry downturn and rising development costs associated with more stringent carbon-emissions standards. But given that Mercedes is likely to surpass 7% margins, or the difference between what it costs a company to build products and the prices it receives for them, in the first half of this year and see a further boost from the weakening euro and sales in China, the goal "no longer looks so crazy," he wrote.
 

Imark

Forumer storico
La rating action compartimentale... non vorrei peccassero di ottimismo... ;)

Moody's changes outlook on global auto industry to positive from stable

Demand and pricing trends are driving improvements

Frankfurt, May 19, 2010 -- Moody's Investors Service has today announced that it has changed the outlook for the global automotive industry to positive from stable. This outlook expresses Moody's expectations for the fundamental credit conditions in the industry over the next 12-18 months.

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Ed infatti eccoli pochi giorni dopo con l'elenco delle precisazioni circa i rischi ai quali il comparto resta assoggettato... tanto per mettere le mani avanti... :lol:

Moody's: Global Auto Sector In Recovery But Challenges Remain

Frankfurt, May 27, 2010 -- The recovery of the global auto sector looks to be stronger than the macro-economic recovery in many regions, driven by demand and pricing, says Moody's Investors Service in its latest Industry Outlook for the sector. That said, the rating agency believes that certain key risks remain that could yet threaten the recovery.

Moody's revised its outlook for the global automotive manufacturing industry to positive from stable on 19 May 2010. This follows a revision to stable from negative in February. However, the rating agency cautions that these changes do not mean it believes there is nothing but open road ahead for these companies. "Indeed, many challenges remain in their path to recovery from the worst fall off in demand they had experienced since World War II," says Falk Frey, a Senior Vice President in Moody's Corporate Finance Group. "Yet compared to where the industry was a year ago, the turnaround in volume sales, demand and to a lesser extent in pricing has been faster than we anticipated."

In the report, Moody's says that there are several reasons for this recovery. First, significant capacity was removed in the US through restructuring. Chrysler was absorbed by Fiat; General Motors and Ford have streamlined their portfolio of brands. Globally, capacity utilisation has edged up to 72 % from 66% according to PriceWaterhouseCoopers. However, the rating agency notes that the industry is considered to operate at break-even levels at 80%. Furthermore, structural overcapacity continues to be a problem in Europe, where government intervention has often hindered industry efforts to close plants and rationalise production.

"Another positive factor is the increase in demand, which picked up by 13% between January and April 2010 compared to the same period a year ago, with the US, China and emerging markets such as India and Brazil the key drivers." explains Mr. Frey.

However, despite the positive signs, the rating agency cautions that key risks remain high. "Rising prices of raw materials, especially steel and precious metals, could squeeze margins towards the end of 2010," says Mr. Frey. "In addition, sovereign worries in Europe could slow down the economic recovery, reduce consumer spending and impact financing in the case of spill-over effects to the banking system."

Moody's also notes that regional differences remain. German manufacturers will be helped by a recovery in the US vehicle market and the US economy. Premium OEMs such as Daimler and BMW are also benefitting from strong sales in China. However, within Europe, the German and Italian markets look particularly bleak due to the negative impact of the end of scrapping schemes. Meanwhile, in Japan, volumes in 2011 are likely to reflect the broader challenges facing domestic sales of Japanese automakers, namely fewer drivers in an aging society and a largely urban population that is eschewing car ownership. On the other hand, Japanese OEMs will see the benefits of the US market's recovery and the growth of emerging markets.
 

lorenzo63

Age quod Agis
Dal wsj: Behind China's Luxury-Car Boom

Un' altra interessante view che definisce con qualche numero in + la attuale potenzialità del mercato cinese per le vetture di lusso il che ridefinisce per assonanza anche le ambizioni del report Mercedes precedente.
Probabilmente, stante le buove imposizioni sugli immobili potrebbe starci che la liquidità venga impiegata da i nuovi ricchi nella acquisizione di status symbol...imho ovviamente

The appetite for high-end autos seems insatiable in the world's largest car market. Ian Robertson, BMW's head of sales and marketing, offers his thoughts on the Chinese car consumer and market


China became the world's largest car market in 2009, selling nearly 13.6 million vehicles and surpassing the U.S's 10.4 million sales that year. While automotive sales slowed in almost every other country due to the global recession (India was an exception), overall car sales in China jumped by 48%, according to Autodata Corp., an automotive statistical data company.

China has also staked a sizable claim in the luxury-car sector. BMW Group, which includes BMW, Rolls-Royce and Mini, saw many markets around the world decline 25-30% in 2009—overall global sales for the company dropped 10%, the company said. But BMW and Rolls-Royce sales in China were up 37% that year. (BMW is the second top seller of luxury cars in China, behind Audi.) Mercedes-Benz says its sales in February were up 160% in the country compared to the same month in 2009. Audi reported a 61.7% jump for the same period.

Why is China seeing such numbers? According to Ian Robertson, CEO of Rolls-Royce and BMW's sales and marketing board member, it's a combination of factors.

"In its boom years, the country has never known a recession. They certainly didn't feel the [current] recession in the way Europe and the U.S. did," Mr. Robertson says. He says Chinese consumers never changed their spending habits, even when the global financial meltdown hit, largely because the Chinese government injected 4 trillion yuan ($400 billion) worth of stimulus money into its economy at the end of 2008 and first half of 2009.

"Consumers had total faith that the government had fixed the problem. That's why they kept buying cars," he says. Part of the Chinese government's stimulus included subsidies for car buyers in rural markets and other tax incentives, which prodded first-time owners into the marketplace.

This past February, overall car sales in China were up 55% compared to February 2009, according to Autodata. (The U.S., which was the second-largest car market last year, behind China, saw a 13% jump in sales that same month.)

But beyond strong sales, China has turned into a parking lot for luxury cars. In February the BMW label says it sold 96.7% more cars in China than during the same month the previous year. "It could have been more, but we ran out of cars," Mr. Roberston says. He says China is the biggest market for its 7 Series, BMW's top-of-the-line model, by a factor of about two.

Mr. Robertson, who has been Rolls-Royce's chairman and CEO since 2005 and joined the BMW board of managers in 2008, says he has noticed an automotive hierarchy in China unlike any in Europe and North America. It's a boon for the business. In China, "the 5 Series is a car for mid-level managers," he says. "The 7 Series is for executives—and you won't ever see that line crossed." This hierarchy, he believes, stems from a market still developing its middle and upper classes. The 5 and 7 Series have become symbols of achieving "membership" in those wealth categories.

In Europe and the U.S., there isn't as much of an overt demand for such status symbols, he says. "It's a lifestyle difference in these markets, whereas it's a class difference in China," Mr. Robertson says.

BMW has made design concessions to cater to the Chinese market. China is the only market that carries a 5 Series with a long wheelbase. (It was introduced in 2007.) The extended wheelbase creates a roomier backseat, making it comfortable enough to be an "arrival and departure car" — in other words, a car with a chauffeur. "We're seeing more and more people wanting to drive themselves, but China is still a 'driven-in' car market," Mr. Robertson says. The long wheelbase in the 7 Series has been a standard in the fleet for years.

Riding on the importance of status symbol in China, BMW also expanded its product offering and price range in 2009 to include the cheaper 1-Series, up to a $150,000, tricked-out 7 Series. With a large pricing spread, the company hopes to create multiple entry points for potential buyers, a theme common among luxury brands in China, including Audi, which offers a range from a $40,000 A4 to a fully-loaded $283,000 A8L.

"We're not just targeting the high-end buyer," Mr. Robertson says. "I see segmentation increasing."

Not surprisingly, BMW's premium and tailor-made brand, Rolls-Royce, is also gaining popularity in China, surpassing Japan as its largest market in Asia and making up just over 10% of global sales in 2009.

"Bespoke in the U.S. is more difficult because dealers believe they need on-lot stock. Americans don't like to wait," Mr. Roberston says. Conversely, wait-time in China ranges from three to six months, as the cars are built in England, and this has become a status symbol and selling point, he says. "The customers in China like to brag about how long it will take to build their cars," he says.

But China poses limits. A law was passed in 2009 that forbade trucks from entering city limits after 8 p.m. A truck was defined as being longer than 6 meters (19.5 feet). The standard Rolls-Royce Phantom touches 6.4 meters (21 feet) on the measuring tape, making it illegal to cruise city streets at night. Mr. Robertson had the Phantom fender designs tweaked at its famous Goodwood, England, factory to shrink models headed to China to within the limit. "It took three months of engineering to adjust the Phantom's length," Mr. Robertson says, explaining Rolls-Royce willingness to make financial sacrifices in order to stay visible in the Chinese market.

The truck law brings up a larger issue for Mr. Robertson and other carmakers: The unpredictability of the Chinese government. "We know where legislation will be in the U.S. over the next couple of years," he says. "China may suddenly take huge regulatory steps to reduce carbon emissions or change safety regulations, but we don't have the legislative awareness like in other countries."

BMW is hedging against potential quick production changes by building a massive factory in Shenyang, China, expected to open in 2012. The initial capacity is 100,000 cars a year, with potential for 400,000 cars per year—comparable output to the company's main plant in Dingolfing, Germany.

The factory will also give BMW a manufacturing footprint in three markets—Asia, Europe and North America—helping the company maintain consistent pricing on its models despite fluctuations in currency or local material costs.

Despite BMW Group—and others—clamoring for Chinese market share, Mr. Robertson says his company's ultimate focus is on the other side of the Pacific, in the U.S. The U.S. market is older and more established, with millions of drivers already in the premium segment and loyal to the brand. Mr. Robertson notes that those American buyers tend to replace their cars in the premium segment, a pattern that hasn't had a chance to develop yet in the nascent Chinese marketplace.

And numbers can be deceiving. While China has a substantially higher percentage of growth and quantity in general car sales, it lags in total volume within the luxury-car sector. The BMW Group moved 90,563 vehicles in China in 2009, compared to 241,727 in the U.S. Says Mr. Robertson, "The premium market in the U.S. still has the most potential."
 

ilfolignate

Forumer storico
Auto: mercato maggio giu' del 13,8%

Nel mese Fiat -25%, quota mercato sotto 30%. Pesa stop incentivi

01 giugno, 18:28


(ANSA) - ROMA, 1 GIU -Il mercato auto in Italia senza incentivi prosegue negativo e a maggio totalizza 163.700 consegne, una flessione del 13,79%.Ad aprile le vendite avevano avuto gia' un calo del 15,65%. Debole Fiat che ha immatricolato a maggio in Italia 48.849 auto,-25,06% rispetto alle 65.187 di maggio di un anno fa. A aprile Fiat aveva immatricolato 49.156 vetture,un calo gia' del 26,25% sull'aprile 2009.Con questi dati Fiat ha una quota mercato che sotto il 30%, a 29,83%.Ad aprile era al 30,7%.
 

ferdo

Utente Senior
entro 10-15 gg si saprà cosa fa Fiat in Italia a livello produttivo: sono in corso le trattative con annesso braccio di ferro
 

lorenzo63

Age quod Agis
GM Seeks Billions in Credit for Life After Uncle Sam

3 luglio 2010

General Motors Co. is in talks with major banks to set up a $5 billion line of credit as it works to convince potential investors it can function without government support, people familiar with the situation said.

The bank talks come as GM nears an initial public offering of shares, which could come in the fourth quarter. The car maker is on an all-out campaign to pitch itself as a reinvented company capable of delivering sustainable profits.

A revolving credit facility, which allows a company to borrow for any reason, would bolster GM's balance sheet and provide a financial cushion should the company's recovery plans hit a snag. A stock sale would allow the U.S. government, GM's biggest shareholder, to begin reducing its about 61% stake in the Detroit auto maker.

Finance chief Chris Liddell this week told a gathering of potential investors and auto analysts that the company aims to eliminate all debt and achieve an investment-grade credit rating. He didn't provide a time frame. He said GM has about $42.2 billion in outstanding debt and pension liabilities.

The goal of holding little or no debt is an unfamiliar one for GM or for any of the Detroit auto makers, which historically have carried hefty debt loads. Ford, for instance, is expected to report it had $27 billion in debt at the end of June. It also has about $12 billion in unfunded pension obligations. GM was burning more than $1 billion in cash a month before filing for bankruptcy in June 2009. In this year's first quarter, GM produced a $1.2 billion operating profit and generated $1 billion in free cash flow.

After nearly running out of cash last year, GM ended the first quarter with $35.7 billion in cash and marketable securities, much of it supplied by the U.S. and Canadian governments in exchange for equity in the company.

The revolving line of credit would be important to GM's continued viability, particularly if the U.S. economy enters a double-dip recession or GM fails to meet sales targets, said Michael Fixler, a managing director in the capital-advisers division of Detroit turnaround firm Conway MacKenzie Inc.

"If they ever want to be able to access the credit market again and have rated debt again, they will have to take these steps," Mr. Fixler said. "It would take away or help to minimize any concern over, 'What if the numbers are wrong?'"

A successful return to the public markets is necessary for the U.S. government to recoup the $50 billion it spent last year to keep GM afloat. The U.S. Treasury holds a 61% stake in the GM, with the rest held by a United Auto Workers healthcare trust, the Canadian government and former bondholders.

Bankruptcy allowed GM to slash debt, downsize operations, shed unprofitable brands and shrink its dealership network.

A year after emerging from Chapter 11, GM said it had $15.4 billion in debt, including preferred equity, compared to $53 billion before bankruptcy. The company is selling more cars and trucks than a year ago, despite eliminating half its eight brands. GM's break-even point is low enough for GM to make money even if the industry sold less than 11 million vehicles, matching the industry's 27-year low in 2009, a person familiar with the situation said.

Yet GM still has some areas it is working to address. Its employee pension obligations are underfunded by $26.8 billion. Including pensions, GM has greater liabilities than rival Ford Motor Co., the only Detroit auto maker to avoid bankruptcy.

GM is in talks with several major banks on the revolving credit, including Morgan Stanley and JPMorgan Chase & Co., both of which have been tapped for lead roles in the auto maker's stock sale.
Ford on Wednesday said it would reduced its outstanding debts by more than $4 billion, mainly in funds owed to a trust set up to provide health care to retired members of the United Auto Workers.

GM, like Ford, lacks an investment-grade credit rating, which drives up borrowing costs and limits access to capital.

In contrast, Toyota Motor Corp. and Honda Motor Co. benefit strongly from their investment-grade ratings and the flexibility of carrying little debt.

Mr. Liddell, in his presentation to Wall Street, didn't provide details on how GM would pay down its debt or offer a timeline for doing so.

Brian Johnson, an automotive analyst at Barclays Capital, said Detroit car makers' debt loads were manageable when annual sales were between 15 million and 17 million vehicles a year. "But [the leverage was] unrealistic with the volatility that existed prior to the 1990s and has come back full force," he said, with U.S. sales now struggling to hold the 11 million mark.
 

azetaelle

investitore(s)qualificato
qualcuno ha notizie sullo stato di salute attuale di Continental (pneumatici)?
dopo l'acquisizione da parte di Schaeffler (che ha rischiato di ripetere l'esperienza di Pirelli un po' di anni fa, forse non proprio bancarotta ma quasi...) in teoria la situazione delle due società dovrebbe essersi stabilizzata un po' (perlomeno da punto di vista commerciale - il portafoglio ordini di Schaeffler-INA è pieno come un tacchino) però non mi dispiacerebbe sentire qualche valido parere sul lato finanziario..
questa non sembra male (pur partendo dal presupposto che nessuno regala nulla :))
8,5000 Conti-Gummi 10/15 MTN Reg.S. 15.07.2015 DE000A1AY2A0
callabile il 15.07.2013 a 104,25 %, dal 15.07.2014 a 100 %.
min 50k
 

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