ETC ETFS DAILY SHORT GOLD e LYXOR ETN SHORT GOLD (1 Viewer)

risparmier

Forumer storico
September 12, 2013 8:38 AM GMT+0200

Gold may extend its 19 percent slump since January as prices on charts form a “head and shoulder” pattern that signals more selling, according to Credit Suisse Group AG.

Bullion fell below $1,360 an ounce, a support level from the upward trend that began in late June, David Sneddon and Christopher Hine, technical analysts at the bank, said in a report yesterday. The drop may lead to the formation of a small head-and-shoulder top, they wrote. The pattern comprises three consecutive peaks on a chart, with the middle being the highest.

Prices may slip further to test $1,337, the 38.2 percent retracement of the June-August rally on Fibonacci analysis, according to the report. A fall below the level “should add weight to the scenario” that a broader bear trend is resuming, taking the metal lower to $1,270, they wrote.

Gold tumbled into a bear market in April on concern that the Federal Reserve would pare stimulus as the economy improved. Metal for immediate delivery dropped 0.6 percent to $1,357.45 an ounce at 2:53 p.m. in Beijing.

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Gold May Fall to $1,270 on Head and Shoulder: Technical Analysis - Bloomberg


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risparmier

Forumer storico
13/09/2013 11:16
Oro ai minimi a un mese, Goldman non esclude discesa sotto soglia dei 1.000 $

Ancora una seduta difficile per l'oro in attesa dei responsi che arriveranno settimana prossima dalla Federal Reserve, con il mercato che si attende l'avvio del tapering. Il prezzo spot del metallo giallo è sceso oggi fino a 1.305,62 dollari l'oncia, sui minimi a oltre un mese. Da inizio anno il saldo negativo è di oltre il 22%. Oggi pesa anche l'intervista a Bloomberg Television del responsabile della ricerca sulle commodity di Goldman Sachs, Jeffrey Currie, che vede la ripresa del declino dell'oro nel corso del prossimo anno mentre nel breve le quotazioni dovrebbero essere sostenute dalla questione siriana e dalla discussione sul tetto del debito Usa. Goldman Sachs per il 2014 è indicato un target a quota 1.050 dollari per l'oro, ma Currie ha rimarcato come "chiaramente il prezzo potrà anche scendere sotto la soglia dei 1.00 dollari". Quota che non viene violata al ribasso dall'ottobre del 2009.
Fonte: News Finanza.com

Notizie, Analisi, Borsa, Mercati - Oro ai minimi a un mese, Goldman non esclude discesa sotto soglia dei 1.000 $734444

Oro ai minimi a un mese, Goldman non esclude discesa sotto soglia dei 1.000 $ - FINANZA.COM
 

risparmier

Forumer storico
Oro: in pesante ribasso al di sotto delle medie mobili
G. Picello 12 SETTEMBRE 17:00
...
In questo contesto che ravviva i timori di una possibile riduzione dello stimolo economici da parte della Fed l’ oro vede deteriorarsi lo scenario di breve, con i prezzi che si attestano attualmente a quota 1332 $/t.oz. La posizione attuale dei corsi li vede proiettati verso il supporto a quota 1316.73 $/t.oz, in corrispondenza dell’ estensione al 161.8% del segnale long del 10 luglio. Un segnale ulteriormente negativo arriva dal cedimento delle medie mobili a 50 e 100 giorni con l’ indice di forza relativa a 14 gg (RSI 14) che conferma il momento di debolezza attestandosi a quota 38, vistosamente inclinato verso il basso e diretto in area di ipervenduto.

Appare confermata la bear flag su base settimanale descritta nelle passate analisi e si mostra in peggioramento anche la vision tramite oscillatore Ichimoku, che ci presenta i prezzi al di sotto di Tenkan e Kijun Sen diretti verso la parte superiore della Kumo, la quale potrebbe offrire un supporto ad un ulteriore allungo ribassista.

In base a quanto esposto collochiamo a quota 1316.73 $/t.oz il primo supporto ed in caso di una violazione di quest’ ultimo monitoriamo con attenzione l’ area compresa tra 1271.73 $/t.oz e 1266.4 $/t.oz (rispettivamente 61.8% e 50% del segnale long del 10 luglio); in senso opposto un recupero dei prezzi troverà la prima resistenza a quota 1361.73 $/t.oz ...

Oro: in pesante ribasso al di sotto delle medie mobili | Trend Online
 
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risparmier

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risparmier

Forumer storico
By Glenys Sim - Oct 10, 2013 7:02 PM GMT+0200

Gold will extend losses into 2014 amid expectations the Federal Reserve will pare stimulus as the U.S. recovers, according to Morgan Stanley, adding to bearish calls from Goldman Sachs Group Inc. and Credit Suisse Group AG.
“We recommend staying away from gold at this point in the cycle,” Melbourne-based analyst Joel Crane said in a video report received today. Bullion will average $1,313 an ounce in 2014, down from the $1,420 forecast for this year, Morgan Stanley said in its quarterly metals report on Oct. 7.

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“Our forecast profile heading into next year is relatively flat against our expectations of rising real interest rates and the U.S. dollar,” Crane said in the video. Bullion will average lower every year through 2018, Morgan Stanley forecasts.
Bullion, which has averaged $1,453 in 2013, is heading for the first annual loss in 13 years after dropping 22 percent. The price tumbled to a 34-month low of $1,180.50 in London in June on expectations that the Fed would taper the $85-billion-a-month of bond buying. Gold fell 0.6 percent to $1,298.19 at 6:01 p.m. in London, dropping for a third day.

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Not everyone is bearish. While gold may look weak fundamentally, “in this sort of environment, you can make a strong argument that gold isn’t too bad a thing to hold,” said Kevin Norrish, head of commodities research at Barclays Plc. “I don’t think it’s a slam dunk short by any means,” he said yesterday. Short bets are wagers on declines.
Most Fed policy makers said that the central bank was likely to taper its bond purchases this year, even as they unexpectedly refrained from such a move in September, according to minutes of their last meeting released yesterday.
Ric Deverell, Currie’s counterpart at Credit Suisse, said on Oct. 8 that selling gold is his top recommendation for trading in raw materials in the next year. Deverell said in May that bullion was going to get “crushed.”

Investors sold 711.8 metric tons from bullion-backed exchange-traded products this year, erasing more than $61 billion from the value of the funds. Holdings fell to 1,920.2 tons on Oct. 8, the least since May 2010, according to data compiled by Bloomberg. Assets are down 27 percent in 2013 after climbing every year since the first product was listed in 2003.

...

Morgan Stanley Sees Gold Lower in 2014 as Goldman Says Sell - Bloomberg

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risparmier

Forumer storico
October 31, 2013, 8:32 A.M. ET
By Brendan Conway

The price of gold is falling sharply again Thursday morning, sending the most actively traded gold futures to the lowest price in over a week.
Gold futures are down by 1.8% to $1,325 after nosediving on heavy trading volume around 8 a.m. SPDR Gold Trust (GLD) is off by 1.1% in premarket activity.
...

There’s no obvious morning headline but there remains the dampened investor risk appetite after Federal Reserve policymakers issued fewer gloomy statements than usual in their Wednesday’s statement, which prompted the dollar’s gains, and gold’s turn lower, Wednesday afternoon.
Here’s how Commerzbank’s commodity strategists read the Fed statement:

Following publication of the statement after the FOMC meeting, the US dollar appreciated against the euro, thus weighing on precious metal prices. Clearly, some market players expect the Federal Reserve to scale back its bond purchases in the near future. That said, the Fed made virtually no changes to its statement that would justify this expectation. Our economists still believe that the Fed will announce a reduction in its bond purchasing programme in March/April.
Gold-mining stocks are set for a decline, with Market Vectors Gold Miners ETF (GDX) losing 2.4% before the open. Fast-trading tools Direxion Daily Gold Miners Bull 3X Shares (NUGT) and Direxion Daily Gold Miners Bear 3X Shares (DUST) are set up for sharp moves, with each moving roughly 7% apiece in premarket activity.

Gold Bears Aim for Metal?s Third Drop in Four Days, Silver Slumps More than 4% - Focus on Funds - Barrons.com
 

Grifo104

Forumer storico
Credo proprio che la Fed iniziera' il Tapering per Dicembre. Non credo che Ben voglia essere ricordato come il piu' gran bugiardo della storia (aveva promesso di terminare il Qe per giugno 2013 ed a gennaio non avra' piu' la possibilita' di onorare il suo impegno). Se questo succedera' dollaro su e commodities e listini giu'. Forza del deleveraging. L'oro credo abbia ben anticipato la cosa. Parere personale.
 

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