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alingtonsky

Forumer storico
by Larkin - Jun 11, 2013 12:30 PM GMT+0200

Gold declined to the lowest price in more than two weeks in London on speculation the Federal Reserve will curb stimulus as the U.S. economy strengthens. Palladium retreated from a two-month high.

Standard & Poor’s lifted its outlook for the U.S.’s AA+ credit rating yesterday to stable from negative, citing receding fiscal risks. Federal Reserve Chairman Ben S. Bernanke said last month the central bank could curtail its $85 billion monthly bond purchases if the economy improves. Chinese markets remain closed today and tomorrow for holidays.
“Upbeat sentiment over the U.S. economic outlook continues to feed concerns of increasing U.S. yields and an easing pace to QE3,” Andrey Kryuchenkov, an analyst at VTB Capital in London, wrote in a report, referring to quantitative easing. “Volumes in Asia will be subdued due to holidays in China.”

Gold for immediate delivery slid 1.2 percent to $1,370.37 an ounce by 11:19 a.m. in London. Prices fell to $1,367.75, the lowest level since May 23. Bullion for August delivery was 1.2 percent lower at $1,369.40 on the Comex in New York. Futures trading volume was 7 percent below the average in the past 100 days for this time of day, according to data compiled by Bloomberg.

Morning Fixing
Bullion at the morning “fixing,” used by some mining companies to sell output, was at $1,369.50 in London, down from $1,383.25 yesterday afternoon.
Gold fell the most in three weeks on June 7 after data showed U.S. payrolls increased more than forecast in May. Prices slid 18 percent this year as an improving U.S. economy increased speculation the Fed may scale back quantitative-easing measures that helped bullion cap a 12-year bull run in 2012. Newcrest Mining Ltd. (NCM), Australia’s largest gold producer, said last week it will write down the value of its assets by as much as A$6 billion ($5.6 billion) after the slump in prices.

Holdings in exchange-traded products fell 6.1 metric tons to 2,129.8 tons yesterday, the lowest since April 2011, according to data compiled by Bloomberg. Assets in the SPDR Gold Trust, the biggest bullion-backed ETP, expanded yesterday for the first time since May 29, the company’s website showed.
Silver for immediate delivery dropped 1.2 percent to $21.67 an ounce in London. Platinum fell 1 percent to $1,491.28 an ounce. Palladium was down 1 percent at $762.28 an ounce, after reaching $771.30 yesterday, the highest since April 3.

Gold Falls to Lowest in More Than Two Weeks on Stimulus Outlook - Bloomberg
 

alingtonsky

Forumer storico
secondo un' analisi tecnica di Bank of America il prezzo dell' oro può scendere fino a $ 1250 , il livello più basso dal terzo trimestre del 2010

by Boyd 11 June 2013

A technical note from Bank of America suggests that gold could drop to $1,250 - its lowest level since the third quarter of 2010.

According to news agency Bloomberg, the forecast is based on a so-called 'symmetrical triangle', and comes after the precious metal has lost some 17% so far this year.

Bloomberg quoted MacNeil Curry chief of rates and currencies technical strategist at Bank of America stating that the triangle is formed of two existing data sets including the two-year low price of $1,321.95 seen on 16 April this year, and the rebound to $1,488.1 seen in the first few days of May.
Meanwhile, Reuters has reported on the decision by rating agency S&P to upgrade its outlook for the US economy has been hurting gold.
This is because an improving US economy would see the Federal Reserve end its QE programme, which has an inflationary effect. Gold is seen as a hedge against inflation, as well as being sought out as a safehaven asset during the financial crisis.

The spike in demand for physical gold in Asia, which followed the previous sharp fall in the price of gold in April this year, has abated, according to anecdotal reports from bullion traders. This would remove a short-term prop to the physical price.

Gold technicals point to $1,250 price - reports - Investment Europe
 

risparmier

Forumer storico
17 giugno 2013 21:34

Société Générale è diventata ancora più pessimista sulle prospettive del prezzo dell'oro. La banca d'affari francese crede che il drammatico sell-off dello scorso aprile e la prospettiva di una riduzione degli stimoli monetari negli USA abbiano avuto come conseguenza un "cambiamento paradigmatico" nell'approccio degli investitori verso il metallo giallo. Société Générale si attende quindi che i massivi deflussi dagli ETF continueranno nel corso di quest'anno e nel 2014. Société Générale prevede perciò ora che il prezzo dell'oro scenderà durante il quarto trimestre fino a $1.200. Lo scorso 2 aprile, quando il prezzo dell'oro quotava nei pressi di $1.600, Société Générale aveva tagliato le sue previsioni per la fine del 2013 a $1.375 all'oncia.

Oro: Societe Generale prevede per il quarto trimestre un prezzo di $1.200 - 17 giugno, 2013
 

alingtonsky

Forumer storico

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MARMAF

nick latente e prudente
17 giugno 2013 21:34

Société Générale è diventata ancora più pessimista sulle prospettive del prezzo dell'oro. La banca d'affari francese crede che il drammatico sell-off dello scorso aprile e la prospettiva di una riduzione degli stimoli monetari negli USA abbiano avuto come conseguenza un "cambiamento paradigmatico" nell'approccio degli investitori verso il metallo giallo. Société Générale si attende quindi che i massivi deflussi dagli ETF continueranno nel corso di quest'anno e nel 2014. Société Générale prevede perciò ora che il prezzo dell'oro scenderà durante il quarto trimestre fino a $1.200. Lo scorso 2 aprile, quando il prezzo dell'oro quotava nei pressi di $1.600, Société Générale aveva tagliato le sue previsioni per la fine del 2013 a $1.375 all'oncia.

Oro: Societe Generale prevede per il quarto trimestre un prezzo di $1.200 - 17 giugno, 2013

Il target è arrivato con un trimestre di anticipo....
 

alingtonsky

Forumer storico
By Glenys Sim - Oct 10, 2013 7:02 PM

Gold will extend losses into 2014 amid expectations the Federal Reserve will pare stimulus as the U.S. recovers, according to Morgan Stanley, adding to bearish calls from Goldman Sachs Group Inc. and Credit Suisse Group AG.
“We recommend staying away from gold at this point in the cycle,” Melbourne-based analyst Joel Crane said in a video report received today. Bullion will average $1,313 an ounce in 2014, down from the $1,420 forecast for this year, Morgan Stanley said in its quarterly metals report on Oct. 7.

...

“Our forecast profile heading into next year is relatively flat against our expectations of rising real interest rates and the U.S. dollar,” Crane said in the video. Bullion will average lower every year through 2018, Morgan Stanley forecasts.
Bullion, which has averaged $1,453 in 2013, is heading for the first annual loss in 13 years ...

Morgan Stanley Sees Gold Lower in 2014 as Goldman Says Sell - Bloomberg
 

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alingtonsky

Forumer storico
21/10/2013 17:26
...
“Nonostante la conferma della view ‘neutral’ sulle commodity, riteniamo che per rame, semi di soia e oro esista un potenziale ribassista”, si legge in una nota preparata dagli an analisti di Goldman Sachs.“ Tuttavia la mancata soluzione definitiva delle questioni statunitensi (“shutdown” e “tetto del debito”, ndr) potrebbe fornire una pausa di breve termine”, rilevano gli esperti del colosso statunitense.

In questo contesto, Goldman stima che le quotazioni del metallo giallo da qui a fine anno si attesteranno in quota 1.300 dollari l’oncia. Nonostante questo, Goldman conferma di attendersi che il miglioramento della congiuntura statunitense e il conseguente tapering spingeranno entro la fine del 2014 un’oncia d’oro a 1.050 dollari.
Fonte: News Finanza.com

Notizie, Analisi, Borsa, Mercati - Oro: Goldman vede prezzi a 1.300 dollari negli ultimi mesi del 2013742540
 

risparmier

Forumer storico
Feb 4, 2014 7:44pm EST

SINGAPORE, Feb 5 (Reuters) - Gold dipped for a second
session on Wednesday as a modest rebound in equities dampened
safe-haven interest in the metal and physical purchases in top
buyer Asia were quiet.

FUNDAMENTALS
* Spot gold slipped 0.1 percent to $1,252.91 an ounce
by 0024 GMT, after dropping 0.2 percent on Tuesday.
* SPDR Gold Trust, the world's largest gold-backed
exchange-traded fund, said its holdings rose 3.89 tonnes to
797.05 tonnes on Tuesday.
* Physical demand has been weak as key buyer China is closed
for the Lunar New Year holiday. A survey by online precious
metals market BullionVault showed physical buying among private
investors fell for a third consecutive month in January.
* Newmont Mining Corp expects to be able to continue
with normal operations at its Batu Hijua copper-gold mine in
Indonesia for the next couple of months while it tries to
resolve an export impasse with the government, Chief Executive
Gary Goldberg said.
* Wage talks between South Africa's AMCU union and the
world's top three platinum producers resumed on Tuesday to try
to end a nearly 2-week strike that has seen outbreaks of
violence and is costing the country an estimated $36 million a
day.
* Higher stocks than usual are helping South African
platinum producer Lonmin to cope with mining strikes
that are paralysing its production, its chief executive said.

...

PRECIOUS-Gold dips for 2nd session as stocks rebound; physical demand weak | Reuters
 

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