[QuickS]

The Weekly Report For October 19th - October 23rd, 2009

Commentary: The markets were able to decisively clear resistance and build on the current rally this week. While Monday and Tuesday ended as indecisive narrow range days, Wednesday brought a gap higher in the markets following an upbeat earnings report from Intel Corp. (Nasdaq:INTC) and JPMorgan Chase (NYSE:JPM). The markets were able to hold most of the gains for the week despite a negative close on Friday. With the markets firmly above prior resistance, it appears a new leg higher has begun. The prior resistance area should act as support on a pullback to test these levels.



In looking at the chart for the S&P 500, as represented by the S&P 500 SPDRS (NYSE:SPY) ETF, prior resistance was near $107.35, which was actually tested on Tuesday. This is a key level; a failure to hold this area will signify a failed breakout and continued range-bound consolidation. The level to watch for a larger reversal would be the September low near $102. (For further reading, check out The Anatomy Of Trading Breakouts.)

Source: StockCharts.com
The Diamonds Trust Series 1 (NYSE:DIA) ETF, which tracks the Dow Jones Industrial Average, is also clearly above prior resistance. The resistance area was holding back prior rally attempts near $98, and DIA ended up trading in a base that resembled an ascending triangle. The measured move for this breakout is taken by measuring the move from the lower portion of the pattern to the top and then projecting a move of this magnitude from the breakout area. This would suggest DIA rallying toward the $104 area.

Source: StockCharts.com
In a very interesting development, the iShares Russell 2000 Index (NYSE:IWM) ETF, which tracks 2,000 companies, is showing a divergence from its larger cap peers. IWM has yet to decisively clear resistance near $62.30. This is interesting because IWM captures a larger sample of stocks and shows weakness in a key group. A breakdown in IWM from this level would be a sign of market weakness and will likely translate to breakout failure from the other groups.

Source: StockCharts.com
The Powershares QQQ ETF (Nasdaq:QQQQ) lies somewhere between SPY and IWM. On the one hand, QQQQ has been able to clear resistance and has held above this level for a few days. However, it hasn’t been able to distance itself from this area, and the longer it hangs around, the more likely a failure becomes. At this point, it is still a breakout, just not a strong one. With earnings on tap from Apple Inc. (Nasdaq:AAPL) come Monday, it is likely that we will know fairly quickly which way this ETF is headed.

Source: StockCharts.com
Bottom Line
It’s interesting that the market has left enough doubt in the current breakout to offer key arguments for both sides. Currently, the technical picture is pointing higher, as most of the indexes are trading near new recovery highs. There are clear levels of support underneath most averages and stocks, and these are the levels that should be watched moving forward. With earnings season in full gear, expect the volatility to increase from day to day, so it remains important to focus on these levels rather than getting caught up in the day's emotions.

Have a Great Day!

By Joey Fundora

Joey Fundora is an independent trader located in South Florida. Joey focuses on using technical analysis techniques to uncover supply and demand imbalances in equities. To see more of his work, visit his site on Stock Chart Analysis.

[gipa69]

Mercato senza tregua che fa piccoli respirini e poi riparte.... ma quando si è in quota questo atteggiamento può portare a mancanze di ossigeno e sarenmo poi costretti a salire con le bombole. Alcune volte però si scopre che la vetta che stiamo scalando non ha una fine ed allora le vertigini rischiano di farci cadere.

Io valuto necessaria nei prossimi mesi una breve discesa al campo base poco più sotto sennò c'è il rischio che la stanchezza prenda il sopravvento e magari il tempo peggiora e poi ci coglie impreparati.

[gipa69]

Indici di partecipazione e sentiment -- Opinioni dal mondo

[Fleursdumal]

uèè rekkie purtroppo per voi son quasi tornato alla normalità
beh che si fa che si fa? si sciorta come ai vekki tempi

[f4f]

Originalmente inviato da Fleursdumal

uèè rekkie purtroppo per voi son quasi tornato alla normalità
beh che si fa che si fa? si sciorta come ai vekki tempi

era ora che tornassi, busone kapo

bentornato vecio

[Fleursdumal]

Originalmente inviato da f4f

era ora che tornassi, busone kapo

bentornato vecio

La ringrazio Avucat, stavo giustappunto leggendo della sua fascinazione per i buci neri valà che sorpresa

[f4f]

Originalmente inviato da Fleursdumal

La ringrazio Avucat, stavo giustappunto leggendo della sua fascinazione per i buci neri valà che sorpresa

una esca irresistibbbbile, n'est-pas , mon vieux amis
pochiisimi per altro hanno voluto sbisciare sull'inevitabile doppio senso

esclusi i presenti, naturlich

[Fleursdumal]

la natura busonesca riemerge sempre impietosa

per aggiungere qualcosa sulle opz su euribor , se le si vuole fare si deve aprire un conto con broker estero , non ci son azzi

[gipa69]

Originalmente inviato da Fleursdumal

uèè rekkie purtroppo per voi son quasi tornato alla normalità
beh che si fa che si fa? si sciorta come ai vekki tempi

Tocco taumaturgico, arrivato e già si scende dai massimi, sei l'ater ego di arsenio ribassista.

[Fleursdumal]

Originalmente inviato da gipa69

Tocco taumaturgico, arrivato e già si scende dai massimi, sei l'ater ego di arsenio ribassista.

speta a parlare tra l'altro nelle tue pignoni appena lette riscontro un discreto appoggio