Discussione: Macroeconomia Crisi finanziaria e sviluppi
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Vecchio 08-06-2009, 16:06   #1349 (permalink)
Imark
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L'opinione di Roubini...

Roubini Scoffs at Green Shoots, Sees Dangerous Complacency

Posted Jun 08, 2009 08:37am EDT by Henry Blodget in Investing, Newsmakers, Recession, Banking

From The Business Insider, June 8, 2009:
Roubini spoke at some conference somewhere (see this Bloomberg video: Roubini Dismisses `Green Shoots,' Sees `Complacency'). He's still singing the same song he was a month ago:
  • Those aren't "green shoots"--they're yellow weeds
  • The crisis isn't over, and everyone has become way too complacent
  • We'll be in recession for another 6-9 months
  • The recovery after that will be weak
  • Big risk of a double-dip
  • Households aren't deleveraging
  • Oil could go to $200 just as economy starts to recover
  • Real interest rates could spike, killing housing, etc.
  • Concern about hyper-inflation
  • All this could lead to "perfect storm" that will clip wings of economic and financial recovery
  • So we need to stay focused on averting disaster before we redesign regulatory architecture.
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