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Vecchio 20-02-2009, 12:31   #3 (permalink)
alingtonsky
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Data registrazione: Feb 2008
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Investment Cycle clock



"I thought that this graphic, by Merrill Lynch, was worth looking at .....


The other thing I thought I might try taking a stab at is how long each portion of the cycle typically lasts. Based only on my observation over time, I might suggest that the cycle has roughly 3,4,2,1 counts. My (un)educated guess is that the recovery portion usually is 3 helpings of time, the boom is 4 portions of time, the slowdown is 2 portions and the recession is 1 portion of time.

Using something like this clock may help you to time your type of investments a little better.



http://confusedcapitalist.blogspot.c...cle-clock.html
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